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Manu Bhaskaran

Manu Bhaskaran is a partner and head of economic research at Centennial Group Inc, an economics consultancy. 



Manu Bhaskaran: The Singapore Budget: A cautious focus on the long term PDF Print E-mail
Written by Manu Bhaskaran   
Wednesday, 03 March 2010 10:00

BUDBET STATEMENTS SERVE several purposes. They set out the spending and revenueraising strategy of the government. More importantly, it allows the government to articulate short-term demand-management policies and as well as sketch out longerterm supply-side development strategies. Finally, the finance minister of the day can also send signals about government strategies in other areas going forward, so that consumers and businesses know how to plan their own strategies. The 2010 Budget is an interesting one on all these counts.
 
Manu Bhaskaran: The global recovery and Asia PDF Print E-mail
Written by Manu Bhaskaran   
Saturday, 20 February 2010 09:18

DESPITE THE RECENT convulsions in financial markets around the world, real economic data continues to point to a decent recovery across most of the major economies that matter for Asia. Noteworthy are the diverging patterns of economic developments between Asia and developed economies, and within Asia itself. These changing patterns give us some insight into the risks and upsides that Asian economies could face in the coming year.

Last Updated on Saturday, 27 February 2010 10:38
 
Manu Bhaskaran: New directions for Singapore’s economy PDF Print E-mail
Written by Manu Bhaskaran   
Saturday, 06 February 2010 11:11

THE ECONOMIC STRATEGIES Committee (ESC), which was set up to consider strategies for Singapore’s economic development in the wake of the tumultuous developments in the global arena, has now reported its findings. After a thorough review of the economy, the ESC has formulated seven key strategies to guide Singapore’s economic development policies. These are grouped under three major policy goals, namely boosting skills in every job; deepening corporate capabilities and making Singapore a distinctive global city and an endearing home.

Last Updated on Saturday, 27 February 2010 10:38
 
Manu Bhaskaran: Are markets right to worry about China’s tightening? PDF Print E-mail
Written by Manu Bhaskaran   
Saturday, 30 January 2010 11:19

CHINA’S REBOUND FROM the slowdown caused by the global financial crisis was impressively confirmed by justreleased data on its 2009 economic growth. GDP grew 8.7%, with 10.7% expansion in 4Q and growth rates for earlier quarters revised upwards. Moreover, all the lead indicators point to continued acceleration, suggesting to us that GDP growth this year could well exceed 11% unless the government tightens policy harshly or in the unlikely event of another global recession.
 
Manu Bhaskaran: What could surprise markets in 2010? PDF Print E-mail
Written by Manu Bhaskaran   
Monday, 28 December 2009 11:53

WHERE MARKETS ARE efficient and incorporate all the news in asset prices quickly, it is surprises — developments that investors did not anticipate when they priced assets — that drive returns in markets. In 2008, investors were stunned by the near-collapse of the global financial system. In 2009, most of us were surprised by the strength of the rebound. What will the equiva lents be in 2010?
 
Surprises are, of course, difficult to predict by definition. But, we can identify areas in which trends are emerging or pressures are building up beneath the surface and not noticed by markets: It would be a fair guess that one or more of these may actually crystallise and produce the surprise that ultimately drives markets. Our best guesses of these potential surprises are given below.
 
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