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Manu Bhaskaran

Manu Bhaskaran is a partner and head of economic research at Centennial Group Inc, an economics consultancy. 



Manu Bhaskaran: Is the global economy on the brink of another downturn? PDF Print E-mail
Written by Manu Bhaskaran   
Tuesday, 07 September 2010 16:26

FINANCIAL MARKETS SEEM to be in a funk, with fears about the global economy worsening by the day. Certainly, data for the US and Japan has deflated some of the earlier optimism in markets while some of the smaller European economies appear to be facing renewed pressures in financial markets. There is also uncertainty over how much policy tightening there will be in China, particularly with some data showing China’s economy regaining some momentum in August. So, how worried should investors be?
Last Updated on Friday, 03 September 2010 16:32
 
Manu Bhaskaran: How long can Indonesia remain in the sweet spot? PDF Print E-mail
Written by Manu Bhaskaran   
Tuesday, 24 August 2010 17:20

INDONESIA HASN’T HAD it this good for a long time. Investors can’t seem to get enough of the country, with portfolio capital as well as foreign direct investment rising rapidly, drawn in by the promise of rapidly developing domestic demand in the world’s fourth most populous country. The economy has been more resilient than many expected in the face of the global financial crisis, Indonesian equities are performing strongly and the rupiah has been appreciating. The key question for investors used to the ups and downs of Indonesia’s past is: How sustainable are the good times?

Last Updated on Friday, 03 September 2010 16:26
 
Manu Bhaskaran: What impact will China have on SE Asia? PDF Print E-mail
Written by Manu Bhaskaran   
Tuesday, 10 August 2010 15:43

RECENT DATA IN China shows two sets of important changes in what is now one of the most important drivers of growth in the world economy. First, there are indications of a cyclical slowdown, with economic growth showing signs of weakening more than anticipated in the short term. Second, there are structural changes in China that affect its competitive positioning in global markets, thereby affecting the region. The net effect of these changes may well be positive in the long term.
Last Updated on Friday, 06 August 2010 15:49
 
Manu Bhaskaran: Singapore’s sizzling economy: What’s next? PDF Print E-mail
Written by Manu Bhaskaran   
Tuesday, 27 July 2010 12:20

IT’S NOT VERY often that China’s super-charged growth pales in comparison with that of another country but that is what has happened in the light of Singapore’s economic performance in 1H2010. With the economy expanding at its fastest pace in nearly 40 years — at around 17% — the first six months of this year have been the best of times for the Singapore economy in a generation. Clearly, this is not likely to be sustained, so the question is how much will the economy slow in the next year or two?

Last Updated on Friday, 06 August 2010 15:43
 
Manu Bhaskaran: Do we really need to worry about a double-dip recession? PDF Print E-mail
Written by Manu Bhaskaran   
Tuesday, 13 July 2010 12:55

INCREASINGLY MORE CONCERNS are being expressed about the global economy slipping back into recession. The mood of optimism at the beginning of the year has given way to a more sombre awareness of the downside risks to economic growth as fiscal tightening in Europe and Japan looks set to become more ferocious than expected and as China acts decisively to slow its super- charged economy. Since Asia’s economic fortunes are still substantially driven by what happens in the global economy, especially in the US, Europe and Japan, it is not surprising that financial markets have been volatile.
Last Updated on Friday, 16 July 2010 09:58
 
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