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Thursday Comment Sept 9: Casinos and cruises PDF Print E-mail

Tags: Alliance Global Inc. | Genting Hong Kong | Genting Singapore

Written by Goola Warden   
Friday, 10 September 2010 09:45

GENTING HONG KONGS management was in town for a roadshow this week. Its president, David Chua, along with Kingson Sian, president of Resorts World Manila, and Andrew Tan, chairman and CEO of Alliance Global Inc, one of Philippines’ largest conglomerates, gave presentations to broking houses and met up with dealers and investors.

Opened in Aug 2009, Resorts World Manila is a 50:50 joint venture between Genting Hong Kong and Alliance Global and is only 55% completed. Home to five-star Marriott Hotel Manila and the 172-suite Maxims Hotel, RWM is a five-minute drive away from the soon-to-be-open Ninoy Aquino International Airport’s Terminal 3. Another Remington Hotel is targeted to open in the first quarter of 2011. Upon completion, the total number of hotel rooms in RWM is expected to hit 1,300. A retail mall was completed in June and is likely to be operational by the end of the year.

 
When completed, RWM will also have three levels of casino space, says Chua. To date, only 200 tables and 1,200 slot machines are operational. By the end of the year, 300 tables and 1,300 slot machines should be up and running. Eventually, RWM will have 2,000 tables and 7,000 slot machines.
 
Already, 2.5 million visitors have walked through the complex, Chua adds. Although 4.3ha of the 7.8ha site has been developed, the total cost of building is estimated to be US$550 million ($738 million). That’s is a fraction of what Genting Singapore spent on Resorts World Sentosa.
 
UOB Kay Hian Research estimates that the 50% stake in RWM contributed about US$10 million to Genting Hong Kong’s 1H2010’s results. The company announced EBITDA for 1H2010 was US$50.5 million, up some 84.3% year-on-year. Total comprehensive income for the six months was US$15.4 million, a marked contrast to the US$57.9 million loss recorded a year ago.
 
CRUISE BUSINESS TURNING AROUND
Genting Hong Kong also operates a cruise business in Asia and owns a 50% stake in Norwegian Cruise Line.
 
Chua claims the cruise business is doing better despite the opening of the two IRs in Singapore, and that NCL’s business has reached an “inflection point”. Superstar Virgo, the cruise ship based in Singapore, is attracting passengers with new destinations, Chua says.
 
The Superstar Libra is also packed, he adds. According to UOB Kay Hian, NCL’s operations are turning around because of last year’s stringent cost-cutting efforts. NCL’s numbers was further helped by stronger ticket pricing and booking trends, UOB Kay Hian points out. Its occupancy rates were said to have inched closer to record levels, the broker says, adding, “This is indeed a positive surprise for us.”
 
UOB Kay Hian also points out that the cruise business’s Taiwan routes have turned a profit of US$3-4 million from a loss of US$5 million a year ago. “Efforts in Taiwan serve to position the group to explore land-based casino opportunities going forward,” UOB Kay Hian states in a recent report, “On the macro front, we learnt that a draft legislation is expected to go to the national assembly by year-end, followed by one or several referendums to seek local residents’ approval for the opening of casinos on the outlying islands... It was disclosed that a legal firm and a consultant firm has been appointed by the Ministry of Transport to spearhead efforts to bring about Taiwan’s first integrated resorts (IRs).”
 
According to the report, the EV/EBITDA is 19-20 times, which is rich. Compare this to the 11 times EBITDA that Genting Singapore sold Genting UK to Genting Malaysia, and the sector average of nine times, UOB Kay Hian says. But, of course, that does not fully reflect the potential of RWM. Genting Hong Kong last traded at 44 cents, up 69% year to date.
 
CHART VIEW
The STI (3,022) remains resilient following the strengthening of some medium-term indicators. However, the peaking of the short-term indicators this week could leave the market vulnerable to at least a temporary retreat. Watch for support first at 3,000 and then at 2,948 at the 50-day moving average. An earlier break above 2,900 indicated a target of 3,120. While bullishness pervades, the focus is on situational counters.
 
Last Updated on Saturday, 11 September 2010 00:49
 
Weekend Comment Sept 3: Infrastructure infatuation PDF Print E-mail

Tags: Genting Hong Kong | Midas Holdings | Rotary Engineering

Written by Goola Warden   
Friday, 03 September 2010 21:01

INFRASTRUCTURE PLAYS PRESENT a safe haven in a sea of macro-economic uncertainty, says a report by OCBC Investment Research dated Sept 3. Its top picks include Midas Holdings, the supplier of aluminium extrusion profiles used in train carriages; oil and gas infrastructure services firm Rotary Engineering and crane operator Tat Hong.

But market punters have been fixated on Macquarie International Infrastructure Fund of late, a mutual fund which owns four assets. After selling British broadband operator Arqiva for $238.4 million and Canadian Aged Care for $91 million this March, the fund now owns primarily Asian assets. These are a 38% stake in Changshu Xinghua Port (Jiangsu), an 81% interest in Hua Nan Expressway in Guangdong, 20% stake in Taiwan Broadband Communications (TBC) and a 100% stake in Miaoli Wind, a wind farm in Taiwan.
Last Updated on Friday, 03 September 2010 21:09
 
Weekend Comment Aug 27: Who might be the next MCL Land PDF Print E-mail

Tags: Great Eastern Group | Guocoland | Hongkong Land Holdings | Jardine Cycle & Carriage | Mcl Land | Pan Pacific Hotels Group | Singapore Land | Straits Trading Co. | United Industrial Corp | Uol Group | Wheelock Properties

Written by Goola Warden   
Saturday, 28 August 2010 10:00

HONG KONG LAND’S exit offer for MCL Land at $2.45 appears to be a done deal. Just before the announcement, the counter was trading at $1.95 or at a 20% discount to book value. The vote minority shareholders are asked to cast is for the voluntary delisting, which is likely to go through as HK Land is allowed to vote. Recall that MCL Land, the former Malayan Credit, was also given as dividend-in-specie to shareholders of Jardine Cycle & Carriage. And Malaysia’s EPF (Employees Provident Fund) has given an irrevocable undertaking to accept in respect of its 4.7% stake. That balance of the 66.25 million shares are held by mostly individuals.
Last Updated on Friday, 27 August 2010 22:48
 
Weekend Comment Aug 20: Securitisation back in vogue PDF Print E-mail

Tags: Ara Asset Management | Ascendas REIT | Ascott Residence Trust | Cache Logistics Trust | Capitacommercial Trust | Capitaland | Capitamall Trust | Mapletree Logistics Trust | Suntec Reit

Written by Goola Warden   
Friday, 20 August 2010 23:28

ASCOTT RESIDENCE TRUST (ART), CapitaLand’s serviced residences property trust, will complete the largest securitisation transaction since the credit crunch if shareholders give their nod at the fast-tracked EGM on Sept 9.

Today’s announcement that CapitaLand’s wholly-owned The Ascott Limited will sell 28 of its serviced residence properties to ART for $969.6 million didn’t come as a surprise as the developer has always maintained it is committed to divesting its investment properties with stable yields into REITs.
Last Updated on Friday, 20 August 2010 23:36
 
Weekend Comment Aug 13: Will Genting Singapore’s party last? PDF Print E-mail

Tags: Genting Malaysia | Genting Singapore | Kencana Agri | Rank Group plc | Singtel | Wilmar International

Written by Goola Warden   
Saturday, 14 August 2010 10:01

ACCOLADES FOR GENTING Singapore’s maiden profit from Resorts World Sentosa came in thick and fast. Of the 13 analysts that reported on Genting’s 2Q10 results, 12 had Buy recommendations, with the most notable upgrade coming from Citi Research which switched from a Sell to a Buy and transferred coverage. The only Hold recommendation was from local house UOB KayHian which had upgraded the stock from a Sell to a Hold. It also mentioned the performance of Genting Singapore’s UK arm. “The UK’s underlying operations have slightly improved by 6% y-o-y from higher business volume, but this was dragged by the depreciation of Sterling pound against the Singapore dollar,” the report stated. 
Last Updated on Saturday, 14 August 2010 11:22
 
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